Liberty
W-L: (16-13) PR = 94.2411Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1107 A Ea Carolina AME (22-10, 94.7) 69-53 1112 H Jam Madison SB (26- 9, 95.6) 61-74 1116 H Duke ACC (27- 9, 97.6) 57-71 1129 A Duquesne A10 (10-20, 93.3) 67-60 1130 A Manhattan MAAC (12-20, 92.2) 68-56 1207 A George Mason A10 (24-10, 95.6) 74-73 1213 H Richmond A10 (27- 8, 95.9) 61-76 1220 H Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 58-67 1220 H Oregon State WC (21-11, 95.3) 57-64 102 A NM St CUSA ( 7-21, 92.7) 67-62 104 A TX-El Paso CUSA (11-17, 93.1) 86-66 108 H Sam Houston CUSA (16-13, 94.2) 53-59 111 H La Tech CUSA (24- 7, 95.1) 72-86 117 H Delaware CUSA (12-19, 93.3) 69-76 122 A We Kentucky CUSA ( 8-21, 92.8) 55-53 123 H Middle Tenn CUSA (17-15, 94.1) 54-63 130 H Florida Int CUSA (21-12, 94.3) 61-74 201 A Missouri St CUSA (23-13, 94.7) 60-52 205 A Jacksonv St CUSA (15-16, 93.4) 60-55 207 H Kennesaw St CUSA (10-17, 93.1) 58-64 212 A TX-El Paso CUSA (11-17, 93.1) 58-48 214 A NM St CUSA ( 7-21, 92.7) 67-42 219 A Missouri St CUSA (23-13, 94.7) 55-43 221 H Florida Int CUSA (21-12, 94.3) 45-66 226 A Middle Tenn CUSA (17-15, 94.1) 65-37 228 A We Kentucky CUSA ( 8-21, 92.8) 60-54 306 A Delaware CUSA (12-19, 93.3) 71-64 312 A Sam Houston CUSA (16-13, 94.2) 89-57 313 H La Tech CUSA (24- 7, 95.1) 48-61
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 A Ea Carolina 69-53 16 0 + 2.44
1112 H Jam Madison 61-74 -13 -1 -0.60
1116 H Duke 57-71 -14 -3 0.00
1129 A Duquesne 67-60 7 1 1.10
1130 A Manhattan 68-56 12 2 0.00
1207 A George Mason 74-73 1 -1 + 2.37
1213 H Richmond 61-76 -15 -2 -0.32
1220 H Hawaii 58-67 -9 0 - -2.03
1220 H Oregon State 57-64 -7 -1 -0.96
102 A NM St 67-62 5 2 0.48
104 A TX-El Paso 86-66 20 1 0.91
108 H Sam Houston 53-59 -6 0 - -2.08
111 H La Tech 72-86 -14 -1 -1.18
117 H Delaware 69-76 -7 1 - -2.99
122 A We Kentucky 55-53 2 1 0.52
123 H Middle Tenn 54-63 -9 0 - -2.20
130 H Florida Int 61-74 -13 0 -1.91
201 A Missouri St 60-52 8 0 + 2.43
205 A Jacksonv St 60-55 5 1 1.14
207 H Kennesaw St 58-64 -6 1 - -3.16
212 A TX-El Paso 58-48 10 1 0.91
214 A NM St 67-42 25 2 0.48
219 A Missouri St 55-43 12 0 + 2.43
221 H Florida Int 45-66 -21 0 -1.91
226 A Middle Tenn 65-37 28 0 1.82
228 A We Kentucky 60-54 6 1 0.52
306 A Delaware 71-64 7 1 1.03
312 A Sam Houston 89-57 32 0 1.94
313 H La Tech 48-61 -13 -1 -1.18
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1220 H Hawaii 58-67 -9 0 - -2.03 108 H Sam Houston 53-59 -6 0 - -2.08 117 H Delaware 69-76 -7 1 - -2.99 123 H Middle Tenn 54-63 -9 0 - -2.20 207 H Kennesaw St 58-64 -6 1 - -3.16 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1107 A Ea Carolina 69-53 16 0 + 2.44 1207 A George Mason 74-73 1 -1 + 2.37 201 A Missouri St 60-52 8 0 + 2.43 219 A Missouri St 55-43 12 0 + 2.43 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Ea Carolina (22-10, 94.7) 69-53 -5.23 5.73 0.01 1.05 12.01
3 H Jam Madison (26- 9, 95.6) 61-74 -4.25 6.71 -0.01 1.05 -2.23
3 H Duke (27- 9, 97.6) 57-71 -2.30 8.66 -0.01 1.05 -1.21
3 A Duquesne (10-20, 93.3) 67-60 -6.57 4.39 0.01 1.05 9.21
3 A Manhattan (12-20, 92.2) 68-56 -7.70 3.26 0.01 1.05 6.84
3 A George Mason (24-10, 95.6) 74-73 -4.29 6.67 0.01 1.05 13.97
3 H Richmond (27- 8, 95.9) 61-76 -3.97 6.99 -0.01 1.05 -2.08
3 H Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 58-67 -5.68 5.28 -0.01 1.05 -2.98
3 H Oregon State (21-11, 95.3) 57-64 -4.61 6.35 -0.01 1.05 -2.42
3 A NM St ( 7-21, 92.7) 67-62 -7.19 3.77 0.01 1.05 7.91
3 A TX-El Paso (11-17, 93.1) 86-66 -6.76 4.20 0.01 1.05 8.82
3 H Sam Houston (16-13, 94.2) 53-59 -5.73 5.23 -0.01 1.05 -3.00
3 H La Tech (24- 7, 95.1) 72-86 -4.82 6.14 -0.01 1.05 -2.53
3 H Delaware (12-19, 93.3) 69-76 -6.64 4.32 -0.01 1.05 -3.48
3 A We Kentucky ( 8-21, 92.8) 55-53 -7.15 3.81 0.01 1.05 8.00
3 H Middle Tenn (17-15, 94.1) 54-63 -5.85 5.11 -0.01 1.05 -3.07
3 H Florida Int (21-12, 94.3) 61-74 -5.56 5.40 -0.01 1.05 -2.91
3 A Missouri St (23-13, 94.7) 60-52 -5.24 5.72 0.01 1.05 11.99
3 A Jacksonv St (15-16, 93.4) 60-55 -6.53 4.43 0.01 1.05 9.30
3 H Kennesaw St (10-17, 93.1) 58-64 -6.81 4.15 -0.01 1.05 -3.57
3 A TX-El Paso (11-17, 93.1) 58-48 -6.76 4.20 0.01 1.05 8.82
3 A NM St ( 7-21, 92.7) 67-42 -7.19 3.77 0.01 1.05 7.91
3 A Missouri St (23-13, 94.7) 55-43 -5.24 5.72 0.01 1.05 11.99
3 H Florida Int (21-12, 94.3) 45-66 -5.56 5.40 -0.01 1.05 -2.91
3 A Middle Tenn (17-15, 94.1) 65-37 -5.85 5.11 0.01 1.05 10.72
3 A We Kentucky ( 8-21, 92.8) 60-54 -7.15 3.81 0.01 1.05 8.00
3 A Delaware (12-19, 93.3) 71-64 -6.64 4.32 0.01 1.05 9.07
3 A Sam Houston (16-13, 94.2) 89-57 -5.73 5.23 0.01 1.05 10.97
3 H La Tech (24- 7, 95.1) 48-61 -4.82 6.14 -0.01 1.05 -2.53
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120.61
|
winning pts = 155.5343 losing points = -34.9217
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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